Week 11 is within the books. I may speak about Davante Adams lastly having a top-10 WR week or that Tony Pollard virtually had a top-10 RB week, however the truth that both of these is value mentioning is type of miserable. Right here’s hoping it’s an indication of excellent issues to come back.
As a substitute, I’m going to choose up the place I left off final week, fascinated by small pattern sizes.
We decided there is just too a lot inherent variability in elements contributing to a participant’s fantasy efficiency. We can’t put a quantity on what number of video games we have to see earlier than we imagine we all know the reality about them. I checked out rookies that point, who essentially have a small pattern dimension given it’s their first yr within the league.
This week I need to think about veterans in new roles for a similar staff, or those that have modified groups. Even right here we’ve got extra knowledge for some gamers than others. When the brand new model doesn’t match the previous model, what’s a fantasy supervisor to imagine? Identical faces, new locations: let’s type out what’s true and what’s simply noise.
I hope everybody has a contented and profitable Thanksgiving Day, each on the desk and the field scores. Thanks for studying!
Hockenson is the present TE1 by whole fantasy factors and TE2 by half-PPR fantasy factors per sport. His Week 7-10 run was Travis Kelce-esque (he averaged 9 catches for 95 yards and two receiving touchdowns in that span). He was traded on the deadline final yr to the Vikings, however had just one noteworthy fantasy sport (Week 16 vs. the NY Giants) the rest of that season. Since Justin Jefferson was injured earlier this yr, Hockenson has been the principle man. Although the staff struggled Sunday night time in Denver, it was Hockenson who led the staff with seven targets and 55 receiving yards. Tight finish definitely isn’t a steady fantasy place for many of us, but when Hockenson is in your roster, you’ll be able to chill out and belief him to the top.
Joshua Dobbs, QB, Minnesota Vikings (New Place)
Dobbs has turned out to be not what I anticipated. It jogs my memory that Kirk Cousins turned out to be not what I anticipated in Minnesota both. Possibly it’s a spot for quarterbacks to thrive. Dobbs performed his finest football of the season his first two weeks as a Viking, however not by such a terrific margin. On the season he’s second amongst quarterbacks in dashing yards (389) and tied for second in dashing touchdowns (six) whereas rating fourth in go makes an attempt (362) with 12 TD/6 INT. His completion share isn’t nice, nevertheless it’s higher than Justin Fields’, Kyler Murray’s and C.J. Stroud’s.
The numbers put him in superb firm, fantasy-wise, and he needs to be beginning in any Superflex or two-QB leagues. Even whereas shedding to Denver, Dobbs made historical past by being the primary QB to attain each a passing and dashing landing in his first three video games with a brand new staff. Jefferson getting nearer to returning solely will increase the likelihood of Dobbs remaining fantasy-relevant by the playoffs. FantasyPros offers Minnesota the most effective QB power of schedule remaining, if you happen to want extra incentive.
Devin Singletary, RB, Houston Texans (New Place)
The Texans have given Singletary 52 carries over the previous two video games with out Dameon Pierce. He has turned them into back-to-back 100-plus-yard dashing video games, each with a rating whereas averaging over 5.0 YPC. That is properly above something Pierce has carried out this season however he does look like getting nearer to returning. The most certainly consequence here’s a timeshare that may drastically dampen Singletary’s future projections. Hopefully, you had been capable of harness these two great place begins as a result of I count on the numbers to drop as quickly as Pierce is again in motion, probably for Week 12 vs. Jacksonville.
Dalton Schultz, TE, Houston Texans (New Place)
Whereas we’re on the Texans, Schultz has been a key cog on this new offensive powerhouse staff led by rookie Stroud. The rookie quarterback struggled in Week 11, however nonetheless managed to drag out a win over Arizona. Schultz has emerged as fantasy’s TE7 in total fantasy factors, TE6 in factors per sport (half-PPR). He’s near Nico Collins and Tank Dell in targets and touchdowns, highlighting that he isn’t an afterthought on this offense. He’s startable each week.
Tony Pollard, RB, Dallas Cowboys (New Function)
Pollard has had lots of ink spilled on his behalf this season, so to talk. The expectations on him within the absence of competitors pushed his ADP into late Spherical 1-early Spherical 2. He was identified to fantasy followers as an explosive expertise able to large performs in area and hard-nosed rushes up the center. Wherever he went on the finish of final season, fantasy factors adopted. Issues bought off to a fantastic begin this fall, however rapidly got here to a screeching halt. Whereas we tried to make sense of his lack of scoring alternatives and discount in carries he slowly crushed our fantasy desires.
In Week 11, he lastly discovered his approach into the top zone for the primary time since Week 1. No Pollard managers celebrated till they had been positive the penalty was on the protection. The entire Pollard state of affairs is irritating, as a result of Dallas is flourishing with out his contributions. The staff has zero motivation to do something totally different. The truth is, the Cowboys may restrict him additional to make sure he’s in prime form for the playoffs. I want I may very well be extra optimistic, however regardless of a reasonably good upcoming schedule, Pollard is a low-end RB2 for fantasy.
Kyler Murray, QB, Arizona Cardinals (Returning position from damage)
Murray has performed two video games and is already again in his common firm because the QB4 in fantasy factors per sport. When he performs, he’s efficient and have to be began. His first two matchups weren’t cakewalks both; Houston and Atlanta each have improved defenses. Murray helped fantasy managers by dashing in a landing in every sport, one thing he appears to be like so pure doing you realize there’s extra to come back on that entrance.
He’s locked in on Trey McBride as a favourite goal, however has additionally gotten Rondale Moore and Greg Dortch extra concerned within the go offense whereas not forgetting about Marquise Brown. James Conner’s worth has taken successful on account of Murray’s dashing touchdowns and a tough schedule forward indicators warning to his managers. Total, Murray’s return is a boon to his backers and McBride managers, however the run sport could be in decline over the following few weeks. The Cardinals’ large receivers are finest reserved as DFS dart throws than season-long starters.
Jake Ferguson, TE Dallas Cowboys (New Function)
The departure of Schultz to Houston opened up a pleasant alternative for Ferguson this season. It doesn’t take a lot to be a worthwhile tight finish — Ferguson is TE8 with simply 8.2 fantasy factors per sport. That’s higher than Dallas Goedert, Dalton Kincaid, Darren Waller, Pat Freiermuth, Evan Engram and Kyle Pitts, although. Ferguson had a three-game TD streak going earlier than Week 11 however remained concerned within the sport plan with 5 targets. He’s seen as many as 10 targets in a great passing matchup, so I actually like him in opposition to Washington this Thursday afternoon.
