This text might be a weekly statistical evaluate of all NFL groups throughout the 2023 season.
For extra statistics, snap counts and PFF grades from the 2023 NFL season, take a look at PFF Premium Stats.
The next chart reveals how nicely NFL groups have performed this season when it comes to anticipated factors added per play. To enhance predictive energy, high-leverage performs comparable to turnovers and goal-line performs are down-weighted a bit. Moreover, the workforce strengths account for opponents confronted. Latest efficiency counts extra towards the estimated workforce power than efficiency earlier within the season.
We may also separate the groups by speeding and passing effectivity. The next chart reveals speeding effectivity:
Right here is the passing effectivity of every workforce:
Energy of Schedule
Based mostly on the workforce strengths proven above, right here is the previous power of schedule of all NFL groups:
And right here is the longer term power of schedule:
Shifting the sticks
The next chart reveals how typically groups transfer the sticks — that’s, convert a collection of downs to a brand new collection of downs. For instance, the Miami Dolphins are shifting the sticks on first down 28% of the time. They’re shifting the sticks on the primary two downs 59% of the time. After three downs, they transfer the sticks 75% of the time. In complete (utilizing all 4 downs), they transfer the sticks 77% of the time.
Observe that these numbers are adjusted for area place and opponent, so one might contemplate this to be the speed of shifting the sticks when going through a league-average area place towards a mean protection:
Right here is similar chart for the opposite aspect of the ball, which can also be adjusted for area place and the opposing offenses confronted:
The next desk reveals how typically groups drop again to go, adjusted for down, distance and the present rating:
With passing targets being essentially the most environment friendly consequence of a dropback on common, simply getting a throw off extra typically than others can already be an necessary indicator of a great offense. There are notable exceptions for groups with cell quarterbacks, however groups largely wish to have a big inexperienced bar (targets) and a small purple bar (sacks) within the chart beneath:
Right here is similar chart for when the quarterback is underneath strain:
We additionally wish to take a look at the contribution of every dropback consequence to the general passing effectivity of every workforce.
Right here is how a lot the detrimental outcomes (sacks, throwaways and interceptions) contribute to every workforce’s complete EPA per go play numbers:
Right here is how the largely optimistic outcomes (focused passes that aren’t intercepted and scrambles) contribute to every workforce’s passing effectivity:
As an total abstract, right here is every NFL workforce’s passing effectivity:
Particular Groups & Turnovers
The next chart reveals what number of web factors every workforce has gained by turnovers (gaining factors by takeaways and dropping factors by giveaways) and particular groups (all phases):
The next chart seems to be at factors gained and misplaced by takeaways and giveaways, respectively:
This chart seems to be at punts and kickoffs, displaying what number of web factors groups gained by receiving them (X-axis) and kicking them (Y-axis):
This chart seems to be at factors over expectation (based mostly on distance) on area objectives. The X-axis describes kicking personal area objectives, whereas the Y-axis represents the opponent kicking area objectives. This half is, in fact, largely luck-based, as a result of most area objectives are utterly out of a protection’s management.