Fri. Sep 5th, 2025

Blues First-Round Pick Justin Carbonneau Commits to QMJHL Return Over NCAA

CHL prospect Justin Carbonneau battles for the puck during a game.
CHL prospect Justin Carbonneau (centre) during a prospects challenge game.

In a noteworthy development amidst the shifting landscape of North American hockey, St. Louis Blues first-round draft selection Justin Carbonneau has made a clear choice regarding his immediate playing future. The talented forward has elected to commit to returning to his junior club, the Blainville-Boisbriand Armada of the Quebec Major Junior Hockey League (QMJHL), should he not earn a spot with the Blues at the professional level this fall. This decision means opting against the potential path of playing college hockey in the NCAA with Boston College.

Carbonneau, selected 19th overall in the recent NHL Entry Draft, found himself in a position increasingly common for top CHL prospects. A relatively new rule change by the NCAA has created eligibility for players who previously competed in the Canadian Hockey League, historically viewed as a professional league by NCAA standards due to player compensation rules. This adjustment has opened a door, leading to a visible trend of players considering, and in many cases choosing, the college route.

For the Canadian Hockey League, which encompasses the QMJHL, Ontario Hockey League (OHL), and Western Hockey League (WHL), retaining high-end talent like Carbonneau is significant. The leagues have seen several players commit to NCAA programs, including prominent names such as Gavin McKenna, a projected top pick for the 2026 draft, who is heading to Penn State.

Carbonneau`s status as a high first-round pick and his performance in the QMJHL last season underscored the significance of his decision. He was a dominant offensive force, finishing second in league scoring with an impressive 89 points (46 goals, 43 assists) in 62 games. Following the draft, he acknowledged the choice between Blainville-Boisbriand and Boston College was a considerable one, stating he would consult with the St. Louis organization to determine the optimal path for his development.

While many of the players transitioning to the NCAA are those who have aged out of junior eligibility or would otherwise become overage players, Carbonneau represents a high-profile, recently drafted player with multiple junior years remaining who chose to stick with his CHL team. This particular outcome provides the QMJHL, and by extension the CHL, with a notable counterpoint to the narrative of talent flowing exclusively towards college programs.

The decisions of other top CHL prospects from this year`s draft remain under observation. Players like first-overall pick Matthew Schaefer (New York Islanders), second-overall pick Michael Misa (San Jose Sharks), Caleb Desnoyers (Utah Mammoth), and Porter Martone (Philadelphia Flyers) had not publicly declared their intentions regarding junior versus college hockey at the time of this report. It is important to note that players who sign an entry-level contract with an NHL team forfeit their NCAA eligibility.

Ultimately, the choice between major junior hockey and the NCAA involves a complex evaluation of development philosophies, academic aspirations, team fit, and professional readiness. Carbonneau`s commitment to the Armada, assuming he does not make the Blues roster, highlights that while the NCAA is now a viable and increasingly popular option, the traditional CHL path remains a compelling and chosen route for elite young hockey players.

By Marcus Bellamy

Marcus Bellamy works the bustling streets of Birmingham, where he's built his reputation covering everything from grassroots athletics to professional boxing. His distinctive writing style combines statistical analysis with compelling narratives about local sports heroes.

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