This Saturday features two significant boxing rematches: Mikaela Mayer defending her WBO women`s welterweight title against Sandy Ryan in Las Vegas, and William Zepeda, the WBC interim lightweight champion, facing Tevin Farmer in Cancun, Mexico.

Mayer (20-2, 5 KOs) previously defeated Ryan (7-2-1, 3 KOs) by a majority decision at Madison Square Garden in September. Controversy preceded their first fight when Ryan was incident with paint thrown at her, which she blamed on Mayer`s team, allegations they denied.

Their rivalry intensified due to a trainer conflict. Kay Koroma, who trained Mayer for a long time, began training Ryan in September 2023. Mayer felt this was a conflict and switched to Kofi Jantuah after her defeat to Natasha Jonas in January 2024.

In their close first match, Mayer edged Ryan on the scorecards (93-97, 94-96, 95-95), with only one punch separating them in total connects (Mayer 186, Ryan 185) and power punches (Mayer 132, Ryan 128). Ryan, however, landed slightly more jabs (57 to 54).

Zepeda (32-0, 27 KOs) won against Farmer (33-7-1, 8 KOs) via split decision last November for the interim WBC lightweight title. The scoring was very tight, with judges differing by only one round (twice 94-95 for Zepeda, and 95-94 for Farmer).

Despite being knocked down in the fourth round, Zepeda threw significantly more punches (191 more than Farmer) but had a similar punch accuracy: 33.3% for Zepeda and 32.9% for Farmer. Zepeda also landed far more body punches (90 to Farmer`s 45).

Here`s a statistical breakdown of both rematches, using data from ESPN Research and CompuBox.


Mikaela Mayer vs. Sandy Ryan

-115: Ryan`s betting odds to win. Mayer is the underdog at -105.

60: Ryan`s punch accuracy percentage in rounds 6-10 (111 of 185). Mayer landed 54% in the same rounds (101 of 186). A key difference was Mayer`s jab usage; she threw a near 50-50 mix of jabs (317) and power punches (319), while Ryan`s jab rate was lower (224 jabs, 343 power punches, with jabs being only 40% of her total).

5: Ryan`s title fight count in 11 pro bouts, including this rematch. She won the vacant WBO welterweight title against Marie-Pier Houle in April 2023, drew with Jessica McCaskill in a unification fight in September 2023, defended against Terri Harper in March 2024, and then lost to Mayer.

9: Mayer`s title fight count, including this one, with this being her third at welterweight. She lost to Natasha Jonas for the IBF welterweight title in January 2024 before winning the WBO belt against Ryan in September 2024. She has also competed for titles at junior lightweight and lightweight.

7: Mayer`s ranking in ESPN`s pound-for-pound women`s list and No. 2 welterweight ranking behind Lauren Price.

1: Punch differential in their first fight (186 to 185 for Mayer).

32.6: Ryan`s overall punch accuracy in the first fight (185 of 567). Her jab accuracy (25.4%) was better than Mayer`s (17%).

9: The highest number of jabs landed in a round by either fighter in their first bout (Ryan in Round 1, Mayer in Round 4). Neither fighter reached double-digit jabs in any round.

8: Rounds where Ryan landed double-digit power punches, compared to Mayer`s seven. Mayer`s most effective power punching round was the 10th (50% accuracy), while Ryan`s was Round 4 (54.8%).

44: Total body punches landed by Mayer, versus 33 for Ryan. Of these, only five of Mayer`s and two of Ryan`s were jabs to the body.


William Zepeda vs. Tevin Farmer

-750: Zepeda`s betting odds to win, a heavy favorite. Farmer is a significant underdog at +475.

31.9: Zepeda`s average landed punches per round in his last 10 fights, the highest among lightweights (division average 15.9). He also throws the most punches per round at 96.5 (lightweight average 56.6). Farmer throws 55 punches per round on average.

23.8: Zepeda`s average power punches landed per round in his last 10, second highest among lightweights, double the division average (11.9), and 10 more than Farmer`s average (13.8).

29.2: Opponents` power punch accuracy against Zepeda (11.4 landed per round).

34.2: Percentage of Zepeda`s punches that are body shots. Farmer`s body shot percentage is 38.9%, and the lightweight average is 29.5%.

19: Punches per round landed by Farmer in their first fight, higher than his 16.4 average. 13.8 per round were power punches.

79: Power punches to the body landed by Zepeda in the first fight, significantly more than Farmer`s 42 body power punches.

3: Farmer`s total jabs to the body landed in the first fight, less than half his average of 6.4 per round.

7: Punch differential per round in the first fight, in Zepeda`s favor. Zepeda also threw 19 more punches per round (78-59).

1: Knockdown in their first fight, when Farmer dropped Zepeda in Round 4.