Fri. Sep 5th, 2025

Wimbledon Experts’ Picks: Who Will Win?

The Wimbledon Championships are set to commence on Monday. In the men`s field, Carlos Alcaraz, aiming for his third consecutive title, is considered a strong favorite, competing against other potential champions like Jannik Sinner and Novak Djokovic.

Conversely, the women`s competition appears significantly more open. Players such as Coco Gauff, Aryna Sabalenka, and Iga Swiatek are all strong contenders hoping to claim their first Wimbledon trophy, and many others also stand a chance.

So, who is predicted to win? We gathered insights from our panel of experts for their selections and top betting recommendations.


Who do you predict will win the women`s singles title, and why?

Pam Shriver: In recent years, the women`s tournament at Wimbledon has often produced unexpected champions, a trend I anticipate might continue in 2025. It`s considerably more challenging to confidently predict who will lift the Venus Rosewater Dish on July 12 compared to the men`s side. When the field is this unpredictable, siding with a top contender like Sabalenka seems the most sensible approach.

It`s notable that Sabalenka has missed two of the last three Wimbledons – last year due to a shoulder issue and in 2022 because of the ban on Russian and Belarusian players. It will also be interesting to see if her performance is affected by her recent loss to Gauff in the French Open final. However, I don`t feel comfortable selecting anyone else as the likely winner.

D`Arcy Maine: This is a difficult question, as there`s no clear favorite entering the tournament. Gauff and Sabalenka have demonstrated excellent form consistently throughout the season and are strong candidates to win their inaugural Wimbledon title during this fortnight. Nevertheless, despite a challenging draw and a relatively modest grass-court record (by her high standards), I`m leaning towards Swiatek. I realize this might sound surprising. However, Swiatek, seeded No. 8, arrives at this major with less attention than in previous years, free from the immense pressure she usually faces elsewhere. She also seems to be playing some of the best tennis of her career on this surface.

Last week at Bad Homburg, her only grass-court event before Wimbledon, she reached her first final on grass and her first tour final in over a year. Throughout that week, she expertly handled top-20 opponents like Jasmine Paolini and Ekaterina Alexandrova, not dropping a set until she faced Jessica Pegula (another player I seriously considered picking) in the final.

Swiatek has never advanced past the quarterfinals at Wimbledon previously. She could potentially face former champion Elena Rybakina in the fourth round, followed by a likely match against Gauff in the quarterfinals. However, this feels like an ideal opportunity for Swiatek to regain momentum and solidify her standing among the sport`s elite.

Connelly: I appreciate the Swiatek pick and agree she has performed remarkably well on grass recently, perhaps better than ever. But when in doubt, it`s often wise to back the top player. Sabalenka has lost four of her last six finals and faces a tough early draw, likely needing some matches to find her top form. While she hasn`t won here yet, she has reached the semifinals in her last two appearances, demonstrating her capability. She is unquestionably capable of winning.

Simon Cambers: The field is wide open. Sabalenka is deservedly the favorite but faces a tricky early schedule and appears to need a few matches to hit peak performance. While this is achievable, she is still seeking her first title here, which opens the door for someone else to break through, possibly winning their first Wimbledon or even their first Grand Slam.

Rybakina, one of the few former champions in the draw, poses a significant threat if she can navigate past Swiatek. Gauff is also a strong contender. However, I predict Madison Keys will make another deep run. Her triumph at the Australian Open seemed to relieve some pressure, and her game is well-suited to grass, featuring a powerful serve and strong groundstrokes. She is in the same quarter as Sabalenka, but I can envision her going all the way again.


Who do you predict will win the men`s singles title, and why?

Pam Shriver: On the men`s side, Alcaraz is the favorite to achieve a Wimbledon hat-trick. His athleticism—particularly his exceptional movement on grass—combined with power, a delicate touch, and an improved serve, has quickly made him a formidable young grass-court player at just 22. I expect we`ll see the charismatic Spaniard hitting numerous seemingly impossible winners on the run, often following up by cupping his hand to his ear to encourage a louder cheer from the crowd. If Alcaraz serves as effectively as he did when he won the Queen`s Club tournament, he is likely to secure his third consecutive Wimbledon title.

D`Arcy Maine: I would ideally pick Djokovic, and I`ve found myself typing and deleting various justifications for how he could achieve it. His historical success! His affection for the tournament! His prowess on grass! His immense motivation and compelling reasons to seek victory!

Yet, I still can`t fully convince myself that he can defeat Alcaraz if they meet again in the final. After witnessing Alcaraz`s performance over the past two years at the All England Club, his epic final against Sinner at the French Open, and his recent title win at Queen`s Club, I simply cannot bet against him. Ultimately, I believe the 22-year-old Spaniard will capture his sixth major title and third straight Wimbledon championship at the end of the fortnight, further cementing his status as the current top player in the game.

Connelly: Sinner is rapidly closing the gap on Alcaraz on natural surfaces, and while grass is arguably his least favored surface, he still reached the semifinals here in 2023, even before his major breakthrough in 2024. However, I find it hard to overlook the significant advantage Alcaraz has with his draw. Sinner will likely have a couple of matches to find his rhythm, but facing a former semifinalist like Denis Shapovalov in the third round, potentially Grigor Dimitrov or Tommy Paul in the fourth, and either Lorenzo Musetti or Ben Shelton in the quarterfinals presents notable upset possibilities, all before a potential semifinal clash with Djokovic.

If we get a Sinner-Alcaraz final rematch, I would be strongly tempted to pick Sinner. However, Alcaraz appears more likely to reach that stage.

Simon Cambers: I cannot realistically pick anyone other than Alcaraz. He has won the title consecutively over the past two years, and achieving a third straight win would be a feat John McEnroe and Boris Becker never accomplished, which speaks volumes. His current form is excellent, he successfully got the necessary matches on grass at Queen`s—and won the title—and he should be sufficiently fresh to make another strong challenge. Sinner must overcome the mental impact of his Paris loss. Djokovic needs to defeat too many top players to win the title. While Jack Draper possesses the game to win Wimbledon, perhaps this year is still too early for him.


Betting tips

Who is your women`s pick to win?

Pamela Maldonado: Sabalenka (+240). For a favorite, this is not an easy draw. However, if Sabalenka maintains a strong serve and composure, she possesses the power to advance through this section effectively. The critical challenge is surviving the potential trap in Round 3. If she gets past Marketa Vondrousova, her confidence could build momentum throughout the tournament to the final.

Andre Snellings: Any American (+275). Gauff (+750) has the fourth-best odds and recently won her second Grand Slam singles title at the French Open this year. Keys (+1200) holds the fifth-best odds, has an impressive 11-1 record in majors this season including her Australian Open win, and boasts the best grass-court record among active players (50-18). Pegula (+2000) reached the final of last year`s US Open, is a capable grass-court player (12-6 record, 66.7% win rate since 2023), and recently defeated Swiatek to win the Bad Homburg Open on grass. Additionally, four-time Grand Slam champion Osaka is always a wildcard and fits the profile of some surprising past Wimbledon winners.

Who is your men`s pick to win?

Pamela Maldonado: Alcaraz (+120). Alcaraz has a favorable path to the final. No opponent in his section possesses the foot speed, mental resilience, or grass versatility required to pose a significant threat to Alcaraz over five sets. At worst, he might drop a set due to errors or a close tiebreak. The real test will be in the final, likely against Sinner or Djokovic. Betting on Alcaraz to reach the final would be a strong play if available.

Andre Snellings: Alcaraz (+120). Alcaraz has been nearly unbeatable on grass over the last three seasons, compiling a 25-1 record with four titles, including the last two Wimbledon championships. He added another grass title this month, winning the ATP 500 Queen`s Club Championships for the second time. Alcaraz also holds an advantage over the players with the second and third-best odds. Sinner is the top seed, but Alcaraz has dominated their recent encounters, winning all five matches since 2023 and eight of their twelve overall meetings. Alcaraz defeated Djokovic in the last two Wimbledon finals.

What is your favorite bet for the women`s side?

Pamela Maldonado: Both Emma Raducanu and Sabalenka to win their Round 1 matches in straight sets (-105). Raducanu doesn`t necessarily need to overwhelm Mingge Xu; while Xu can compete, Raducanu`s strong return game and baseline consistency should gradually wear her down. Sabalenka`s first-round opponent, Carson Branstine, lacks the pace to disrupt Sabalenka`s rhythm. It`s difficult to see Branstine winning many games.

Andre Snellings: Iga Swiatek to win (+650). While other players like Rybakina (+550), Andreeva (+1600), and Jasmine Paolini (+2800) are also worth considering, Swiatek has particularly caught my attention. After being the dominant force in tennis for much of the past few years, Swiatek has had a quieter season relative to her usual performance. Although she hasn`t won as many titles, she has been playing at a very high level this year, reaching the semifinals at both previous Grand Slams and the final of last week`s Bad Homburg Open.

What is your favorite bet for the men`s side?

Pamela Maldonado: Roberto Bautista Agut (-120) over Cameron Norrie in the first round. This pick is based on trust in discipline and grass-court experience. RBA`s flat groundstrokes stay low and are well-suited for the surface, while Norrie`s looping forehand and passive style haven`t been effective in 2025. With RBA showing flashes of his strong form during this grass swing, he is the more dependable baseline player in a match where precision is favored over spin.

Andre Snellings: Djokovic to win (+600). Djokovic represents the most dangerous type of long shot: a player with seven Wimbledon titles and something to prove. Sinner, despite being the top seed, is not guaranteed to reach the final, especially after his tough loss to Alcaraz at Roland Garros, a recent coaching change, and an early exit in Halle. If Djokovic gets past Sinner, or if Sinner is eliminated earlier, Djokovic would likely face Alcaraz in the final. Following his five-set defeat in 2023 and a loss in 2024 after surgery, this tournament feels like a potential revenge campaign for Novak on a surface he still largely controls.

What is your favorite long shot bet to win the women`s title?

Pamela Maldonado: Jessica Pegula (+2000). She is undervalued given her manageable early draw, with no top-10 opponent expected until the quarterfinals. Her consistency and strategic play match up well against players like Mirra Andreeva and Gauff, both of whom can sometimes falter under pressure. If Pegula reaches the final, she will have already defied expectations and possesses the game to challenge a powerful player like Sabalenka.

Andre Snellings: Vondrousova (+2000). Vondrousova is arguably the most dangerous unseeded player in the draw. She won Wimbledon in 2023 after returning from significant injury time that caused her ranking to drop completely. She appears capable of a similar run this season. Vondrousova has been sidelined for much of the past year due to hand and shoulder issues but returned for the French Open and earlier this month won her first tournament since 2023 at the Berlin Open. That tournament is also played on grass, and Vondrousova defeated strong opponents including 2024 Australian Open champion Madison Keys, two-time Wimbledon finalist Ons Jabeur, and Aryna Sabalenka, the current world No. 1 and top seed at Wimbledon.

What is your favorite long shot bet to win the men`s title?

Pamela Maldonado: Djokovic (+600). Djokovic is the kind of long shot who is anything but a long shot, possessing seven Wimbledon titles and a point to prove. While Sinner is the top seed, his path isn`t guaranteed, especially after the emotional loss to Alcaraz in Paris, a recent coaching change, and a loss in Halle. If Djokovic overcomes Sinner, or if Sinner is upset earlier, Djokovic will likely meet Alcaraz in the final. After a challenging five-set match in 2023 and a post-surgery loss in 2024 to Alcaraz at Wimbledon, this looks like Novak`s opportunity for redemption on his favored surface.

Andre Snellings: Any American (+1800). Taylor Fritz is the highest-seeded American at No. 5, and the top seed in his potential semifinal bracket is No. 3 Alexander Zverev, whom Fritz defeated at both Wimbledon and the US Open last year. Fritz reached the final of last season`s US Open and has already won a grass-court title this season, defeating Zverev in the finals of the Stuttgart Open last week. His powerful serve and surprising agility for his size make him well-suited for grass.

Also keep an eye on the 10th seed, Ben Shelton. He has an enormous serve that helped him reach the semifinals of two hard-court majors (2023 US Open, 2025 Australian Open). He advanced to the fourth round at Wimbledon last year in only his second appearance at the event. Tommy Paul, seeded 13th, has reached the quarterfinals in three of the last four majors, including Wimbledon last year. Frances Tiafoe (12th seed), Brandon Nakashima (29th), and Alex Michelsen (30th) are the other seeded American men. Tiafoe and Nakashima have both reached the fourth round at Wimbledon. Michelsen is only 20 and has played Wimbledon only once, losing in the first round, but he has already reached the finals of two grass-court tournaments early in his career.

Any of these players would be considered long shots individually, but this bet allows you to back all of them. I also like the related special bet, Any American man to reach the final (+700).

By Nathan Blackwood

Nathan Blackwood has been covering sports stories for over 12 years from his base in Manchester. His passion for rugby and cricket shines through his sharp analytical pieces, which often focus on the human stories behind major sporting events.

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